Printer friendly version :: Predictions

Odds Wizard predicts future events in terms of probabilities of win, draw, loss, etc. It does not make senseless verdicts on who will actually win. Situation resembles quantum mechanics: you can't predict anything surely, but you can compute probability of whatever you want. Then, you compare fair odds F generated by Odds Wizard with the line odds L offered by a bookmaker, find pairs L > F (sometimes it's difficult), and finally determine optimal bankroll distribution using Stake Wizard 4 tool.

Suppose you have found events with the following fair and line odds:

A) F = 1.5 L = 1.7
B) F = 1.3 L = 1.5
C) F = 2.0 L = 2.3

Your bankroll is $100, target fund =$1000, minimum stake = $1, confidence probablity = 95%.

Instructions of Stake Wizard 4 in 'Regular mode' will be the following:

$67.30 - set aside
$14.48 - single bet on B
$7.67 - single bet on A
$4.25 - single bet on C
$3.41 - double parlay bet on AB
$1.89 - double parlay bet on BC
$1.00 - double parlay bet on AC

In the above example, average growth of your bankroll will be 3.99% in each betting round.

In general case, higher growth rates can be achieved by:

1. Getting more events into Stake Wizard 4 calculations.
2. Setting less minimum stake amount (Stake Wizard control panel).
3. Setting greater accumulators limit (Options).
4. Setting greater complex bet subcomponents limit (Options).