hopefully i can bring some life in this sector. i'm pretty lazy, but: did u evaluate those picks u suggested? would be helpful
| Newhavensoft forum »Newhavensoft.net forums » Odds & Betting » Some games to consider |
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| 1. AmirD - 21 August, 2007 - 10:18:12 |
Home win:
Sun 26-08 Brazil - 1st Division (11 matches) Figueirense FC SC - Palmeiras SE SP Sat 25-08 Croatia - 1st Division (6 matches) Zadar NK - Osijek NK Sat 25-08 Czech republic - 1st Division (8 matches) Viktoria Zizkov - Sparta Prague Sat 25-08 Denmark - 2nd Division (11 matches) Brondby Kobenhavn B - Bronshoj BK Sun 26-08 Denmark - 2nd Division (11 matches) Slagelse BI - Greve IF Sat 25-08 Finland - Premier League (4 matches) Haka Valkeakoski - Turku TPS Fri 24-08 Germany - 2nd Bundesliga (9 matches) VfL Osnabruck - Paderborn SC Sun 26-08 Germany - 2nd Bundesliga (9 matches) Hoffenheim TSG - 1860 Munich TSV Fri 24-08 Ireland - Premier League (6 matches) Derry City - Bray Wanderers Sun 26-08 Mexico - Apertura (9 matches) Pachuca CF - Santos Laguna Torreon Fri 24-08 Netherlands - 1st Division (9 matches) Roda Kerkrade - Heracles Almelo Sat 25-08 Poland - 1st Division (8 matches) GKS Belchatow - Wisla Krakow Sun 26-08 Russia - 1st Division (8 matches) Chimki FK - Moscow FK Sun 26-08 Russia - 1st Division (8 matches) Spartak Nalcik - Dinamo Moscow Fri 24-08 Switzerland - 2nd Division (9 matches) La Chaux-de-Fonds FC - Cham SC Away win:
Fri 24-08 Ireland - Premier League (6 matches) Waterford United - Cork City FC Sun 26-08 Japan - 1st Division (9 matches) Albirex Niigata - Shimizi S-Pulse Wed 22-08 Norway - 1st Division (8 matches) Mandalskameratene - Haugesund FK Sat 25-08 Slovakia - Corgon League (6 matches) Dukla Banska Bystrica - MSK Zilina Sat 25-08 Switzerland - 1st Division (5 matches) Lucerne FC - Basel FC This is not a recommendation to bet on these games, but an example of games where the line odds are greater than fair odds |
| 2. assi - 31 August, 2007 - 17:44:11 |
| hi amird and thx for ur posts in this category hopefully i can bring some life in this sector. i'm pretty lazy, but: did u evaluate those picks u suggested? would be helpful |
| 3. AmirD - 02 September, 2007 - 14:00:39 |
| This was a sample of games. Betting on these kind of games would be profitable in the long run. |
| 4. assi - 16 September, 2007 - 04:56:29 |
| Niederlande – Eredivisie Roda JC – Feyenoord Rotterdam (So 16 Sep 12:30) Betfair 3.85 3.61 1.97 Odds Wizard 1.98 4.05 4.02 I'll try Roda +0.5 @1.90 at bet365, fair odd 1.33. |
| 5. Peke - 11 November, 2007 - 15:18:05 |
| AmirD when you find a higher line odds than fair odds, do you check both team rating by using charts team vs team options? I think this graphs shows only one team both home and away ratings. But home and away ratings are for most teams different. A team may be strong home but weaker at away. And actual rating a team is also important. I wonder if you find a high line odds than fair odds match, do you check two teams actual home and away performance? Thanks for your help. I need your help because you are very experienced person about using odds wizard. Thanks a lot. |
| 6. AmirD - 12 November, 2007 - 07:42:20 |
| I only check the charts to see the general trend of the teams. I think you must have implicit confidence in Odds Wizard otherwise you will only look for reasons elsewhere not to bet using OW. The opposite of confidence is anxiety which does not help in anyway. Otherwise invent a method that you trust, and use it consistently. Home advantage is already included in the algorithm. (Edited by: 12 November, 2007 - 07:42:53) |
| 7. AmirD - 13 February, 2008 - 11:11:52 |
Here are some games for this week, the odds are fair odds
2008-02-12 England1 Plymouth Argyle Barnsley FC home win 1.77 2008-02-15 Germany2 SV Wehen Wiesbaden Erzgebirge Aue home win 1.85 2008-02-14 Mexico CF America Mexico Monarcas Morelia home win 1.51 2008-02-14 Mexico Guadalajara Santos Laguna home win 1.62 2008-02-15 Holland Ajax Amsterdam Sparta Rotterdam home win 1.15 2008-02-15 Holland2 FC Omniworld Almere Fortuna Sittard home win 1.68 2008-02-16 Scotland3 Arbroath FC Albion Rovers Coatbridge home win 1.44 2008-02-16 Scotland3 Elgin City East Stirlinghire Falkirk home win 1.66 2008-02-17 Turkey2 Gaziantep BB SK Altay GSK Izmir home win 1.85 2008-02-16 Holland Willem II Tilburg PSV Eindhoven away win 1.49 2008-02-17 ItalyC1B AC Sangiovannese Gallipoli Calcio away win 1.93 2008-02-16 Holland Heracles Almelo SC Heerenveen away win 1.69 2008-02-16 Turkey Besiktas Istanbul BB Ankaraspor away win 5.05 2008-02-16 SwissChall FC Wohlen FC La Chaux de Fonds away win 2.81 2008-02-17 ItalyC1B FC Crotone SS Juve Stabia away win 4.92 |
| 8. AmirD - 16 February, 2008 - 03:33:15 |
The away bets with Asian handicap at Pinnacelsports:
2008-02-17 ItalyC1B AC Sangiovannese Gallipoli Calcio AHO away 0.25 : 0 1.67 2.05 2008-02-16 SwissChall FC Wohlen FC La Chaux de Fonds AHO away 0 : 0.5 1.61 1.917 2008-02-16 Turkey Besiktas Istanbul BB Ankaraspor AHO away 0 : 1 1.52 2.14 |
| 9. AmirD - 17 February, 2008 - 11:25:20 |
How did it go?
Average probability: 46% Outcome: 40% 2008-02-17 Belgium2 AS Eupen UR Namur home win 1.94 4:1 won 2008-02-12 England1 Plymouth Argyle Barnsley FC home win 1.77 3:0 won 2008-02-15 Germany2 SV Wehen Wiesbaden Erzgebirge Aue home win 1.85 3:0 won 2008-02-14 Mexico CF America Mexico Monarcas Morelia home win 1.51 0:1 lost 2008-02-14 Mexico Guadalajara Santos Laguna home win 1.62 3:2 won 2008-02-15 Holland Ajax Amsterdam Sparta Rotterdam home win 1.15 6:2 won 2008-02-15 Holland2 FC Omniworld Almere Fortuna Sittard home win 1.68 1:1 lost 2008-02-16 Scotland3 Arbroath FC Albion Rovers Coatbridge home win 1.44 1:4 lost 2008-02-16 Scotland3 Elgin City East Stirlinghire Falkirk home win Postpon. Postpon. 2008-02-17 Turkey2 Gaziantep BB SK Altay GSK Izmir home win 1.85 0:0 lost 2008-02-16 Holland Willem II Tilburg PSV Eindhoven away win 1.49 0:1 won 2008-02-17 ItalyC1B AC Sangiovannese Gallipoli Calcio away win 1.93 2:0 lost 2008-02-16 Holland Heracles Almelo SC Heerenveen away win 1.69 2:2 lost 2008-02-16 Turkey Besiktas Istanbul BB Ankaraspor away win 5.05 3:2 lost 2008-02-16 SwissChall FC Wohlen FC La Chaux de Fonds away win 2.81 3:1 lost 2008-02-17 ItalyC1B FC Crotone SS Juve Stabia away win 4.92 2:0 lost |
| 10. AmirD - 20 February, 2008 - 17:23:32 |
2008-02-22 Germany2 FSV Mainz 05 FC Carl Zeiss Jena home win 1.4 2008-02-24 Germany2 FC Augsburg Kickers Offenbach home win 1.48 2008-02-25 Germany2 FC Kaiserslautern TuS Koblenz home win 1.83 2008-02-24 ItalyC1B Potenza SC AC Sangiovannese home win 1.53 2008-02-24 Mexico Guadalajara Club San Luis home win 1.59 2008-02-24 Mexico Puebla Monarcas Morelia home win 1.86 2008-02-24 Portugal2 Gondomar SC CD Fatima home win 1.66 2008-02-24 Spain RCD Mallorca Real Betis Sevilla home win 1.98 2008-02-24 SwissChall FC Gossau SC Cham home win 1.4 2008-02-23 Turkey Gençlerbirligi Ankara Konyaspor home win 1.87 2008-02-24 Turkey Istanbul BB MKE Ankaragücü home win 1.96 |
| 11. AmirD - 26 February, 2008 - 13:20:57 |
| Average probability= 56% Outcome=42%
2008-02-24 Mexico Guadalajara Club San Luis home win 1.59 2:2 lost 2008-02-24 Mexico Puebla Monarcas Morelia home win 1.86 4:0 won 2008-02-24 Portugal2 Gondomar SC CD Fatima home win 1.66 1:1 lost 2008-02-24 Spain RCD Mallorca Real Betis Sevilla home win 1.98 1:1 lost 2008-02-23 Turkey Gençlerbirligi Ankara Konyaspor home win 1.87 6:1 won 2008-02-24 Turkey Istanbul BB MKE Ankaragücü home win 1.96 1:2 lost 2008-02-22 Germany2 FSV Mainz 05 FC Carl Zeiss Jena home win 1.4 2:2 lost 2008-02-24 Germany2 FC Augsburg Kickers Offenbach home win 1.48 1:1 lost 2008-02-25 Germany2 FC Kaiserslautern TuS Koblenz home win 1.83 2:3 lost 2008-02-24 ItalyC1B Potenza SC AC Sangiovannese home win 1.53 1:0 won 2008-02-24 SwissChall FC Gossau SC Cham home win 1.4 3:2 won 2008-02-23 Wales Llanelli AFC Newtown AFC home win 1.17 draw My bets, despite winning only 3 out of 8 the profit was 8.5%.
2008-02-24 Mexico Puebla Monarcas Morelia home win 1.86 2.31 4:0 won 2008-02-24 Portugal2 Gondomar SC CD Fatima home win 1.66 2.06 1:1 lost 2008-02-24 Spain RCD Mallorca Real Betis Sevilla home win 1.98 2.14 1:1 lost 2008-02-24 ItalyC1B Potenza SC AC Sangiovannese home win 1.53 1.99 1:0 won 2008-02-24 Turkey Istanbul BB MKE Ankaragücü AHO home 0 : 1/4; 1.69 1.99 1:2 lost 2008-02-24 Germany2 FC Augsburg Kickers Offenbach AHO home 0 : 1/2; 1.48 1.855 1:1 lost (Edited by: 26 February, 2008 - 13:22:56) |
| 12. AmirD - 29 February, 2008 - 15:28:29 |
Missed some games during the week, but here are some games for this weekend
2008-03-02 - Greece - Apollon Kalamaria - Veria FC , home win , 1.88 / 2 2008-03-01 - Holland - NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam , AHO home 0 : 1 , 1.71 / 2.07 2008-03-01 - England3 - Darlington FC - Brentford FC , home win , 1.77 / 1.96 2008-03-02 - France - Girondins Bordeaux - Paris Saint Germain FC , home win , 1.8 / 2.03 2008-03-01 - ItalyB - Pisa Calcio - FBC Treviso , AHO home 0 : 3/4 , 1.94 / 2.13 2008-03-01 - ItalyB - Rimini Calcio - Frosinone Calcio , AHO home 0 : 3/4 , 1.71 / 1.855 |
| 13. AmirD - 03 March, 2008 - 00:57:00 |
| Result: 6 won, 1 loss. The fund increased with 43 %.
2008-03-02 : Greece - Apollon Kalamaria - Veria FC - home win - 1.88 / 2 - 1:0 won 2008-03-01 : Holland - NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam - AHO home 0 : 1 - 1.71 / 2.07 - 3:0 won 2008-03-01 : England3 - Darlington FC - Brentford FC - home win - 1.77 / 1.96 - 3:1 won 2008-03-02 : France - Girondins Bordeaux - Paris Saint Germain FC - home win - 1.8 / 2.03 - 3:0 won 2008-03-01 : ItalyB - Pisa Calcio - FBC Treviso - AHO home 0 : 3/4 - 1.94 / 2.13 - 2:0 won 2008-03-01 : ItalyB - Rimini Calcio - Frosinone Calcio - AHO home 0 : 3/4 - 1.71 / 1.855 - 1:1 lost |
| 14. amigdala - 06 March, 2008 - 05:26:22 |
| Thank you AmirD, for your researching and value bets...I am forward to looking some value bets in the future. Thanks again... |
| 15. AmirD - 06 March, 2008 - 22:56:28 |
Hopefully I may contribute with my modest experience with Odds Wizard  My bets for this week:
2008-03-08 : Austria - LASK Linz - FK Austria Wien - AHO home 0 : 0.25 - 1.61 - 2.15 2008-03-08 : England - Blackburn Rovers - Fulham FC - AHO home 0 : 1 - 1.84 - 2.06 2008-03-08 : France - Stade Rennes - Paris Saint Germain FC - AHO home 0 : 0 - 1.58 - 1.746 2008-03-09 : GermanyS - SC Pfullendorf - SV Elversberg - AHO home 0 : 0.25 - 1.88 - 2.14 2008-03-07 : Holland2 - FC Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht - home win - 1.73 - 2 2008-03-09 : Mexico - Guadalajara - Deportivo Toluca - home win - 1.81 - 2.09 |
| 16. AmirD - 08 March, 2008 - 02:17:27 | |
Quote:
This bet was a mistake, I bet on AHO away 0:0 to minimize the loss. |
| 17. Guest - 08 March, 2008 - 22:57:40 |
| Hi AmirD, which bookie do you use for your bets? |
| 18. AmirD - 09 March, 2008 - 11:25:32 |
Result for the latest bets:
2008-03-08 : Austria - LASK Linz - FK Austria Wien - AHO home 0 : 0.25 - 1.61 _ 2.15 - 2:1 won 2008-03-08 : England - Blackburn Rovers - Fulham FC - AHO home 0 : 1 - 1.84 _ 2.06 - 1:1 lost 2008-03-08 : France - Stade Rennes - Paris Saint Germain FC - AHO home 0 : 0 - 1.58 _ 1.746 - 2:0 won 2008-03-09 : GermanyS - SC Pfullendorf - SV Elversberg - AHO home 0 : 0.25 - 1.88 _ 2.14 - 3:1 won 2008-03-09 : Mexico - Guadalajara - Deportivo Toluca - home win - 1.81 _ 2.09 - 1:0 won 2008-03-07 : Holland2 - FC Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht - home win - 1.73 _ 2 - 1:1 lost I cancelled out
since i regarded it as a bad bet, despite this the bet fund increased 33%. The 3 latest rounds has increased the total fund with about 100%. (Edited by: 09 March, 2008 - 11:28:07) |
| 19. javen - 12 March, 2008 - 03:19:08 |
| Bravo!! Salute u for being such a kind soul to share ur picks here.. Glad that u have won money!! keep it up!! Will keep coming back here to support ur pick! |
| 20. AmirD - 12 March, 2008 - 14:49:09 |
| Thanks javen, it will hopefully be much easier when bookies odds are available directly in OW. It isn´t my intention to continue posting my picks indefinitely, I wanted to show that it is possible to win with some work, although the sample size isn´t large enough to prove it, I´ll post a few more if the Administrator permits. (Edited by: 12 March, 2008 - 15:05:25) |
| 21. AmirD - 13 March, 2008 - 02:03:19 |
Here are this weeks picks:
2008-03-14 Germany2 SV Wehen Wiesbaden FC Kaiserslautern AHO home 0 : 1/4 1.79 2.03 2008-03-15 Italy AS Roma AC Milan AHO home 0 : 1/4 1.49 1.909 2008-03-15 Holland FC Twente Enschede Vitesse Arnhem home win 1.52 1.8 2008-03-15 Russia FK Khimki Amkar Perm AHO home 0 : 1/4 1.63 1.99 2008-03-15 GermanyN Rot Weiss Ahlen Hamburger SV II home win 1.7 1.943 2008-03-15 Greece Ergotelis Heraklion Veria FC home win 1.91 2008-03-15 Israel Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv away win 1.86 2008-03-15 Scotland1 Livingston FC St Johnstone FC Perth away win 1.91 2008-03-16 Russia Tom Tomsk Dinamo Moskva AHO home 0 : 0 1.39 1.826 the ones without line odds, please see Betbrain. (Edited by: 13 March, 2008 - 02:37:22) |
| 22. javen - 13 March, 2008 - 12:02:08 |
| Thanks and good luck!! Great reference.. |
| 23. AmirD - 16 March, 2008 - 09:28:22 |
Result for the latest bets:
2008-03-14 Germany2 SV Wehen Wiesbaden FC Kaiserslautern AHO home 0 : 1/4; 1.79 2.03 0:2 lost 2008-03-15 Italy AS Roma AC Milan AHO home 0 : 1/4; 1.49 1.909 2:1 won 2008-03-15 Holland FC Twente Enschede Vitesse Arnhem home win 1.52 1.8 4:3 won 2008-03-15 Russia FK Khimki Amkar Perm AHO home 0 : 1/4; 1.63 1.99 0:3 lost 2008-03-15 GermanyN Rot Weiss Ahlen Hamburger SV II home win 1.7 1.943 3:0 won 2008-03-15 Greece Ergotelis Heraklion Veria FC home win 1.91 2:0 won 2008-03-15 Israel Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv away win 1.86 2:3 won 2008-03-15 Scotland1 Livingston FC St Johnstone FC Perth away win 1.91 0:2 won 2008-03-15 Spain2 FC Sevilla II UD Las Palmas home win 1.9 0:0 lost 2008-03-16 Russia Tom Tomsk Dinamo Moskva AHO home 0 : 0 1.39 1.826 0:0 draw I bet on the games with the Line odds, the Fund increased 20% (Edited by: 16 March, 2008 - 09:30:15) |
| 24. javen - 19 March, 2008 - 08:49:43 |
| Great! I see and learn.. Thanks! |
| 25. AmirD - 20 March, 2008 - 14:28:26 |
Here are some games for this week:
2008-03-21 France2 Stade Brestois Chamois Niortais home win 1.93 2008-03-21 Austria1 SV Bad Aussee FK Austria Wien II AHO home 0.5 : 0 1.83 2008-03-21 ItalyB Pisa Calcio US Grosseto AHO home 0 : 0.75 1.82 2008-03-21 Holland2 FC Volendam TOP Oss AHO home 0 : 1 1.68 2008-03-22 France OGC Nice FC Lorient home win 1.9 2008-03-22 Holland SC Heerenveen Roda JC Kerkrade home win 1.66 2008-03-22 Slovakia Artmedia Bratislava ZTS Dubnica nad Vahom home win 1.23 2008-03-22 Slovakia MSK Zilina FC ViOn Zlaté Moravce home win 1.13 2008-03-22 ItalyC1B Gallipoli Calcio Perugia Calcio home win 1.92 2008-03-22 Slovakia MFK Kosice Dukla Banská Bystrica home win 1.54 2008-03-22 Scotland Aberdeen FC St Mirren Paisley AHO home 0 : 0.75 1.79 2008-03-22 Croatia Slaven Koprivnica Medimurje Cakovec AHO home 0 : 1.5 1.85 2008-03-22 Hungary Diósgyöri VTK Miskolc Rakoczi FC Kaposvar AHO home 0.25 : 0 1.75 2008-03-22 Russia Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva AHO home 0.25 : 0 1.81 2008-03-22 SwissChall FC Chiasso SR Delemont home win 1.85 2008-03-22 Serbia Mladost Lucani Cukaricki Beograd AHO away 0 : 0.25 1.49 2008-03-22 Ukraine Zarya Lugansk Metalurg Zaporozje AHO away 0 : 0.25 1.5 2008-03-23 Spain2 CD Numancia Celta de Vigo AHO home 0 : 0.5 1.98 2008-03-23 Spain2 Cordoba CF Deportivo Alavés AHO home 0 : 0.25 1.74 2008-03-23 Turkey Trabzonspor Kayserispor AHO away 0 : 0.25 1.57 2008-03-24 Czechia FC Zlin Slavia Prague AHO home 0.5 : 0 1.76 (Edited by: 21 March, 2008 - 10:25:43) |
| 26. javen - 21 March, 2008 - 22:23:47 |
| Great! First five overall win! Most important is to increase fund!! Great work!! Bro, any msn? we can exchange our thought! |
| 27. AmirD - 24 March, 2008 - 14:28:41 |
| Result for this week: [list=]2008-03-21 France2 Stade Brestois Chamois Niortais home win 1.93 4:2 won 2008-03-21 Austria1 SV Bad Aussee FK Austria Wien II AHO home ½ : 0 1.83 2:2 won 2008-03-21 ItalyB Pisa Calcio US Grosseto AHO home 0 : ¾ 1.82 0:0 lost 2008-03-21 Holland2 FC Volendam TOP Oss AHO home 0 : 1 1.68 3:0 won 2008-03-22 France OGC Nice FC Lorient home win 1.9 1:2 lost 2008-03-22 Holland SC Heerenveen Roda JC Kerkrade home win 1.66 4:3 won 2008-03-22 Slovakia MSK Zilina FC ViOn Zlaté Moravce home win 1.13 4:1 won 2008-03-22 ItalyC1B Gallipoli Calcio Perugia Calcio home win 1.92 3:0 won 2008-03-22 Slovakia MFK Kosice Dukla Banská Bystrica home win 1.54 1:3 lost 2008-03-22 Scotland Aberdeen FC St Mirren Paisley AHO home 0 : ¾ 1.79 1:1 lost 2008-03-22 Croatia Slaven Koprivnica Medimurje Cakovec AHO home 0 : 1½ 1.85 4:0 won 2008-03-22 Hungary Diósgyöri VTK Miskolc Rakoczi FC Kaposvar AHO home ¼ : 0 1.75 2:1 won 2008-03-22 Russia Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva AHO home ¼ : 0 1.81 0:2 lost 2008-03-22 SwissChall FC Chiasso SR Delemont home win 1.85 4:1 won 2008-03-22 Serbia Mladost Lucani Cukaricki Beograd AHO away 0 : ¼ 1.49 2:1 lost 2008-03-22 Ukraine Zarya Lugansk Metalurg Zaporozje AHO away 0 : ¼ 1.5 0:1 won 2008-03-23 Slovakia Artmedia Bratislava ZTS Dubnica nad Vahom home win 1.23 1:0 won 2008-03-23 Spain2 CD Numancia Celta de Vigo AHO home 0 : ½ 1.98 1:2 lost 2008-03-23 Spain2 Cordoba CF Deportivo Alavés AHO home 0 : ¼ 1.74 0:1 lost 2008-03-23 Turkey Trabzonspor Kayserispor AHO away 0 : ¼ 1.57 2:1 lost 2008-03-24 Czechia FC Zlin Slavia Prague AHO home ½ : 0 1.76 0:1 lost [/list] Expected win was 59% and the outcome was 52% Sorry about FC Volendam-TOP Oss appearing twice in the previous post (Edited by: 24 March, 2008 - 14:47:30) |