Odds Wizard > Tools > Tournament analysis tool has made preview group stage analysis on EURO-2024 (update of June 23):
Spain, Germany and Portugal have already proceeded.
Probability to come out from groups for other countries:
Group A: Switzerland (98.3%), Scotland (1.77%).
Group B: Italy (71.3%), Croatia (27.9%), Albania (0.872%).
Group C: England (96.7%), Denmark (67.9%), Serbia (25.8%), Slovenia (9.54%).
Group D: France (98.5%), Netherlands (87.8%), Austria (13.7%).
The most entangled is Group E. Most chances to come out from group has Belgium (80.8%), then Romania (71.9%), Slovakia (28.1%), and Ukraine (19.2%).
GroupF: Turkey (66%), Czech Republic (33.9%), Georgia (0.09%).
How can Georgia come out from the 2nd place? Here is the scenario:
With no chances is Poland and Hungary.
All other specific scenarious are visible in Odds Wizard (Tools > Tournament analysis).