Newhavensoft forum

**ColdFish** · Newbie

I have found that using OddsWizard's odds at the start of a game is a profitable strategy. Though of course once the first goal is scored they are no longer applicable. Any opinions?

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ColdFish

**Kervon** · Newbie

Well... I have to agree that once a goal is scored. The whole stats and crunching numbers that OW has prior match is deemed useless.

Not that OW is not worthy for that, but due to the biased psychological and emotional factors/strategies that the teams use when they're trailing or leading... The trailing team might use a more agressive strat..like hard tackling and such...or the leading might just slack abit more and start passing the ball around to waste time off.

There is one way, perhaps that you could probably still implement OW stats and number into a closed match (scored match)...By multiplying the probablities of the match outcome with time remaining and a k factor for each respective team.

Of course, THAT k factor differs in different people's pt of view. You just have a a big base of live matches to record and start your historical calculation and tallying.... THAT is a herculean task.

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"Winning can only come after you have instilled the disciplines"

**admin** · Administrator

OW odds are applicable until the kickoff.

They are different not only after the first goal, but after the first minute of goalless time. Live game calculations are being studied, and of course have to be introduced along with displaying of live odds from several bookies.