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AmirD



Junior Member


Tennessee Titans-New England Patriots 12/31 2006.
PinnacleSports odds are 2.07 for 0:3, fair odds are 1.016 for 0:3.
Stake Wizard calculates that one should bet the whole fund.

Any comments?

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Amir

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Total posts: 80 : Registration date: Dec. 2005 : Posted: 26 December, 2006 - 13:20:38
Kervon




Newbie


Tennessee seems to be going through a pretty bad patch now.
A check with the otehr betting exchanges on my end found emiliar lines from other bookmakers.

I personally wouldn't 'dare' to place my entire funds into this, but then again...it looks really beautiful. Maybe I'd place a reasonable sum of funds into this.

We shall see the results..

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"Winning can only come after you have instilled the disciplines"
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Total posts: 42 : Registration date: Mar. 2006 : Posted: 30 December, 2006 - 11:05:19
Kervon




Newbie


All seems good now as New England leads 19-10

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"Winning can only come after you have instilled the disciplines"
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Total posts: 42 : Registration date: Mar. 2006 : Posted: 31 December, 2006 - 14:02:16
Kervon




Newbie


Final Score: 40-23
Seems like OW got it nailed on this time, and if there's anyone who actually placed their ENTIRE FUND on this bet. Congrats to them...

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"Winning can only come after you have instilled the disciplines"
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Total posts: 42 : Registration date: Mar. 2006 : Posted: 01 January, 2007 - 01:20:43
AmirD



Junior Member


I assume the probability was 98.4 %, that New England Patriots would not lose by more then the spread, but the possibility was still there.
Making 10 such bets could theoretically turn 1000 into 1 444 453.
By making only 10 bets, the probability to lose all becomes even smaller than
1.6 %. These bets are rare though and you have to have the guts to bet on them.
Even if you bet half of the whole fund the profit is still very large.

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Amir

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Total posts: 80 : Registration date: Dec. 2005 : Posted: 01 January, 2007 - 15:25:09
javen




Newbie


How do u come out with whole fund? I seem confuse by the stake wizard.. diff to use as i still dun understand the jeez of it..
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Total posts: 37 : Registration date: May 2007 : Posted: 25 May, 2007 - 12:14:06
AmirD



Junior Member


Quote:
Tennessee Titans-New England Patriots 12/31 2006.
PinnacleSports odds are 2.07 for 0:3, fair odds are 1.016 for 0:3.
Stake Wizard calculates that one should bet the whole fund.

These was a very unusual situation, and I still don't understand the maths of Stake Wizard, but see "Overview and basic concept" under the Help menu.
Maybe if you enter a fraction of of your fund into Stake Wizard...

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Amir

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Total posts: 80 : Registration date: Dec. 2005 : Posted: 26 May, 2007 - 04:02:58
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