Newhavensoft forum

**AmirD** · Junior Member

Kervon,

If I had for instance 5 good value bets I wouldn't change the bet fund at all; if your Fund is 100 and your stake size is 5x30=150, reduce it to what you can afford to lose; I think the solution is to recalculate the bet fund (if you know how) before you calculate bet size or just use common sense.

"To secure against defeat depends on oneself;
the opportunity for triumph depends on one's opponent"

-----
Amir

**Kervon** · Newbie

Thanks AmirD.

Will take note of this valuable information.

-----
"Winning can only come after you have instilled the disciplines"

**Argus** · Newbie

Quote:

When the stake wizard gives the bet combinations there is a Z ave% parameter.Alex once told me trough an email that this value has to be more than 1.040

Can anybody tell me more about that?
SW results table shows Zave as percent value. Should it be greater than 4% as displayed or 1,04%?
If you take a bet with fair odds 2,0 with default settings, Zave will be less that 4% even at the line odds as high as 2,85! I think that most bettors will take such odds as "outstanding value". Should we wait for bookies gift like 3,0+ odds on even-sided game? Should we avoid clear favourite (fair odds 1,6) even at the 2,1 line (Zave% = 3,75)?

**Alex** · Alex

'Z ave' = 1.04 (growth multiplier) in the earlier versions (< 1.80) is the same as 'Z ave,%' = 4 (percent increment) now.

'Z ave,%' >= 4% is empirical rule, and the close value 3.75 may be useful if trends are favorable for the chosen team.

**AmirD** · Junior Member

Hi Alex,

is there any sense in changing the depreciation period from the default value of 900? What value would you consider to be the lowest useful value for soccer?
Is the default value the same for other types of sports?

-----
Amir

**AmirD** · Junior Member

I found some ideas about money management and some ideas how to deal with multiple bets at this site, http://www.sportpunter.com/money_management.htm
I still use Stake Wizard although the Fund is subject to a Roller Coaster ride. I hope Stake Wizard can deal with multiple single bets in the future.

(Edited by: 05 November, 2006 - 03:55:49)

-----
Amir

**Kervon** · Newbie

Nice site. But pretty much of a 'beat around the bush' and 'sales-talk'..
See that it talked about everything and finally went back to recommending it's own products..

Perhaps I'll draw the information out when I'm free and post it on these boards for everyone to share.

-----
"Winning can only come after you have instilled the disciplines"

**AmirD** · Junior Member

To bet on multiple games this might be a useful approach: determine the Fund, add all individual stake sizes in percent for instance: 15%, 33%, 12%, 21%, 12%, 12%, 23%, 14%, 10%, 9%, 11%, 12%=185%, divide the Fund with 185%. This is your recalculated Fund: if Fund is 1000 than 1000/185%=542
I haven't yet figured out how to determine the risk of losing for instance 10% or 20% of the Fund when using this method, that is I haven't put my mind to it yet, any volunteers

-----
Amir

**joe** · Newbie

Hi ,
I Can't catch. Can you explain more. Pls
Thanks

**AmirD** · Junior Member

15% of 542 =81.3
9% of 542 =48.78
10% of 542 =54.2
11% of 542 =59.62
12% of 542 =65.04
12% of 542 =65.04
12% of 542 =65.04
12% of 542 =65.04
14% of 542 =75.88
21% of 542 =113.82
23% of 542 =124.66
33% of 542 =178.86
sum =997.28

(Edited by: 13 March, 2007 - 03:18:41)

-----
Amir