Newhavensoft forum

**Oompa Lumpa** · Newbie

On the Performance Analysis, am I correct in saying that the greater the success rate % in the performance table then the better OW has been at predicting results in that division?
And that as long as the figure isn't below 100% does that mean that if you had been betting on OW selection's where the line odds > fair odds then you should have broken even at the very worst (obvious assuming a large sample of games?

I just want to be sure that I understand exactly what the success rate % of typically 105 - 109% means in layman's terms.

**Alex** · Alex

That's right. The greater the success rate % in the performance table, the better OW performance and the greater predictability of a given league. Keeping in mind that computation algorithm is the same for all leagues, we may conclude that success rate % has been an index to predictability of a league.

Success rate % depends on the range of teams' ratings. The greater the range, the greater the success rate %. Usually top national leagues have the greatest values of success rate % (110..120%). The teams of the minor leagues are usually closer by their ratings, and therefore the success rate is below 110%.

International league EuroChamp is not an exception - it does feature the greatest range of teams' ratings. This results in success rate over 130%.

There is no threshold (e.g. 100%) that can be considered as a criterion of betting efficiency. The latter is a matter of Stake Wizard calculations.